AGP Executive Report

Palestinian Elections: Fatah’s Jibril Rajoub says the Nov. 28 legislative vote likely won’t happen on time, urging a comprehensive national dialogue and presidential elections first, while Hamas rejects any postponement and calls for a free, fair process. West Bank Flashpoint: Reports warn the West Bank could “explode” amid rising settler unrest and Israeli raids, as Palestinian families describe sieges and isolation like the month-long Qusra standoff. UK–Israel Diplomatic Rift: After Britain, France and Canada move to restrict trade in settlement goods, Israel orders the UK to close its East Jerusalem consulate within 30 days and expels/blocks some British officials, while London insists security and the two-state path require action. Settlement Expansion: A Palestinian commission says Israel is advancing plans for 1,670 new settlement housing units, including new areas near Ramallah, Jericho and Jenin, despite international pressure. Regional Politics: Russia links Israeli threats against PA leadership to Israel’s election campaign, and EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas backs an EU-wide settlement trade ban as a “principled stance.”

West Bank Siege & Displacement Fears: In Qusra, Palestinian families say an Israeli siege has trapped them for a month, with access to food and medicine now requiring coordination with the military, while a raid in Jenin left a man dead of wounds. Settlement Expansion Watch: Ramallah’s Wall and Settlement Resistance Commission says Israel is advancing plans for 1,670 new settler homes and outposts, including projects near Bethlehem, Ramallah and the Jordan Valley. UK-Led Sanctions Rift: Britain, France and Canada move to restrict trade in goods from Israeli settlements, prompting Israel to order the UK to close its East Jerusalem consulate within 30 days and bar some British officials, while Israel’s Knesset speaker denounces “Londonistan.” Diplomatic Fallout & Intelligence Claims: UK officials insist security and intelligence cooperation will continue, even as critics warn the consulate closure and other retaliations could reduce access. Regional Pushback & Political Pressure: Muslim and Arab states—including Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Pakistan—welcomed the UK ban, while India’s Asaduddin Owaisi urged Modi to follow suit. PA Politics & Public Mood: A new poll finds Palestinians increasingly favor peaceful negotiations over armed resistance, as concerns grow about the political future amid ongoing violence. Legal Fight Over Oct. 7 Claims: Netanyahu says he will sue Haaretz over a report alleging UAE warnings before Oct. 7, escalating Israel’s election-related accusations of foreign interference.

Settlement Sanctions & Diplomatic Fallout: The UK, joined by France, Canada and 12 other countries, moved to ban imports and impose targeted restrictions tied to Israeli West Bank settlements, citing “ethnic cleansing” and threats to the two-state solution; Israel retaliated by ordering the UK to close its East Jerusalem consulate within 30 days, expelling UK staff from a Gaza coordination role and ending UK training for Palestinian security forces, while also barring 12 British politicians. UK-Israel Security Ties: Despite the rupture, UK Foreign Secretary Ed Miliband said intelligence sharing with Israel—especially on Iran—will continue. West Bank Expansion Push: Palestinian officials say Israel expanded a 1984 “state land” declaration by about 48 acres near Jalud and Al-Mughayyir, and Israel is also weighing new settlement plans totaling hundreds of units. PA Stability Warning: A bipartisan US House group warned that a Palestinian Authority fiscal collapse could strengthen Hamas and Iran-backed groups, urging Washington to preserve West Bank economic safeguards. Public Opinion Shift: A new JMCC poll found Palestinians increasingly favor peaceful negotiations over armed resistance, with support for violence dropping sharply. Violence & Rights: Reports also highlighted rising settler attacks on journalists and ongoing Israeli arrests of Palestinian police near Ramallah.

UK–Israel Diplomatic Rift: Israel ordered the UK to close its East Jerusalem consulate within 30 days, and told British diplomats tied to a US-led Gaza coordination mission and those in Ramallah to leave within seven days, after London imposed sanctions and a ban on imports from Israeli West Bank settlements. Settlement Sanctions Escalation: UK Foreign Secretary Ed Miliband said the measures target “ethnic cleansing” by “settler terrorists,” while Israel retaliated by expelling UK representatives from Gaza monitoring and ending UK training for Palestinian Authority security forces, plus barring 12 British lawmakers from entering Israel. Western Bloc Pressure: Britain acted alongside France and Canada, with additional backing from other European states, warning settlement expansion threatens the two-state solution. Domestic/Regional Fallout: Jordanian opinion writers flagged rising anxiety over West Bank “Judaization/Israelization” and warned shifts in Palestinian governance could force hard choices for Amman. Palestinian Public Mood: A new poll found support for a two-state solution rising, while trust in Hamas and Fatah continues to fall.

Settlement Goods Sanctions: The UK, France and Canada moved to ban imports of products made in Israeli West Bank settlements, with Foreign Secretary Ed Miliband saying the UK recognizes “ethnic cleansing” of Palestinians by “settler terrorists,” and targeting not just goods but services tied to settlement expansion. Diplomatic Retaliation: Israel responded by ordering the closure of the UK consulate in East Jerusalem, removing British staff from Gaza coordination work, ending UK training for Palestinian Authority security forces, and barring 12 UK MPs and other figures from entry. Broader Western Push: A 12-country group signaled similar restrictions or support for European measures, citing settlement expansion—especially the E1 project—and rising settler violence as threats to a two-state solution. US Stance: US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said Washington would not join the sanctions, stressing stability and warning against any uptick in violence in the West Bank. PA Reaction: Palestinian officials and the PA’s UK embassy framed the sanctions as an accountability step, while the wider diplomatic fight deepened tensions around how governments engage Palestinian governance and the settlement file.

UK-France-Canada Settlement Sanctions: Britain announced a ban on imports from Israeli West Bank settlements, with France and Canada coordinating similar steps, citing threats to the two-state solution and alleging ethnic cleansing; Israeli ministers warned of retaliation while the UK framed the move as a “reset” focused on settlement conduct, not Israel itself. West Bank Political Escalation: Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz ordered IDF preparations for “full-scale war” against the Palestinian Authority if it appears poised to carry out an Oct. 7-style attack, targeting PA leadership and “terror infrastructure,” as settler violence and stabbing incidents continue. PA Under Pressure: Israeli Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich declared the Oslo Accords “null and void,” claimed Areas A and B belong to Israel, and called for dismantling the PA, deepening rifts with Netanyahu. Gaza Displacement Debate: US Ambassador Mike Huckabee said there is no plan to force Palestinians out of Gaza, pushing back on renewed Israeli calls for large-scale relocation. Legal Push from Taybeh: Taybeh’s mayor said the town is preparing US civil lawsuits against occupiers, leveraging residents’ US citizenship/green cards. Regional Diplomacy: Arab foreign ministers urged immediate action to protect Palestinians and called for UN Security Council measures, while Egypt proposed a new Arab security framework.

West Bank Security Escalation: Israel’s Defence Minister Israel Katz ordered the IDF to prepare for an “all-out” full-scale war against the Palestinian Authority in Ramallah if it is seen as preparing an Oct. 7-style attack, with plans described as targeting senior PA leadership, security forces, and “terror infrastructure,” including possible evacuations and killings. Settler Violence on the Ground: The warning followed fresh stabbing and raid incidents in the northern West Bank, as Israeli forces and settlers carried out operations around outposts near villages including Osrin/Usarin and Hajja, amid renewed lockdowns and casualties. PA Politics Under Pressure: Far-right Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich declared the Oslo Accords “null and void,” said Areas A and B belong to Israel, and called for dismantling the PA. UK Settlement Sanctions: The UK is set to announce a ban on trade with illegal Israeli settlements, with Ed Miliband signaling a tougher stance that could include restrictions beyond goods. Arab Diplomacy: Arab foreign ministers urged immediate international action to protect Palestinians from Israeli attacks and settler violence, rejecting forced displacement and calling for legal and financial support for Gaza reconstruction. Energy & Daily Life: PENRA reported about 60% of solar projects were implemented in the last two years, while the new school year opened amid barriers and financial strain.

West Bank Escalation: Israel’s Defence Minister Israel Katz warned the IDF will prepare an “all-out war” against the Palestinian Authority if it believes PA-linked forces are about to carry out an “October 7-style” attack, with plans that include targeting senior PA leadership in Ramallah, striking “terror infrastructure,” and evacuating residents from areas tied to attacks. Immediate Violence: The threat followed fresh West Bank flare-ups: Israeli troops killed a Palestinian during a raid involving settler gunfire near Hajja, and another Palestinian was shot after a stabbing near Usarin/Nablus; multiple villages were placed under lockdown. Settler Outposts Under Pressure: Separately, Netanyahu ordered the evacuation of some unauthorized settler outposts after Washington pressure, including sites in areas under Palestinian civil administration—an effort that sparked anger inside his far-right coalition. US Diplomacy on Settler Violence: US envoy Mike Huckabee visited Turmus Ayya and called attacks on Palestinians “terrorism,” while also insisting there is no plan to forcibly displace people from Gaza. Local Governance & Rights: In Ramallah, the CEC and ICHR renewed cooperation for protecting rights and freedoms around the 2026 legislative elections, including complaint channels and monitoring. Education Under Strain: The new school year opened across the West Bank amid barriers and closures, with officials citing a deepening PA financial crisis affecting schools and staffing.

West Bank Settlements: Netanyahu ordered the evacuation of some West Bank settler outposts deemed illegal under Israeli law, with reports tying the move to U.S. pressure; officials say enforcement is hardest in Areas A and B where outposts can quickly reappear. US Diplomacy & Security: U.S. envoy Mike Huckabee visited Turmus Ayya and called settler attacks “terrorism,” urging “severe consequences,” while also saying there is no plan to forcibly displace Palestinians from Gaza. Elections & Rights: The CEC and ICHR renewed cooperation for the protection of freedoms and liberties ahead of the 2026 Legislative Elections, setting up channels for complaints and rights monitoring. Education Under Pressure: The new school year opened across the West Bank with hundreds of thousands of students, but officials warn a deepening PA financial crisis is hitting staffing, equipment, and school maintenance. Gaza Reconstruction Debate: Netanyahu reiterated that Gaza reconstruction must wait for demilitarization and Hamas disarmament, keeping the postwar sequence tied to security demands. Regional Outreach: India and Palestine discussed cooperation in agriculture, including climate-smart farming and technology across the value chain. Settler Violence Escalation: Palestinian groups warned settlement expansion is spreading beyond Area C into Areas A and B through outposts, land seizures, and movement restrictions.

West Bank & Gaza Escalation: The DFLP warned that Israel’s latest moves in the occupied West Bank and Gaza are pushing annexation and mass displacement, calling for Palestinian unity and renewed national strategy ahead of planned Legislative Council elections. US Condemns Settler Violence: US Ambassador Mike Huckabee visited Turmus Ayya near Ramallah and branded attacks on Palestinians “terrorism,” saying Israel must protect residents and that there is no plan to forcibly displace Gazans. Gaza Demilitarization Debate: Netanyahu reiterated that Gaza reconstruction must wait until Hamas is disarmed and the enclave is demilitarized, keeping the postwar fight focused on security sequencing. EU Rejects Displacement Plans: The EU said it rejects any attempt to change Gaza’s demographics or territory and opposed formulas for Gazan “migration” tied to Israeli ministers’ proposals. PA Election Uncertainty: Reports say Fatah-linked figures are laying groundwork to justify canceling November 2026 elections, citing Gaza destruction and voting access for Jerusalem and Gaza. Settlement Pressure & Land Loss: Multiple reports highlighted settlement outposts expanding into Areas A and B, plus ongoing demolitions and land seizures that threaten contiguity and daily life. Politics & Messaging: Netanyahu’s campaign used an AI cartoon framing the election as a referendum on outside enemies, while internal factional talks in Turkey raised doubts about elections and legitimacy. Economy & Resilience: Palestinian industry—especially stone and marble—faces mounting pressure from movement restrictions and costs, even as the tech sector pitches resilience to investors. Culture & Identity: Tributes to artist Sliman Mansour underscored how Palestinian art has fought erasure amid occupation and displacement.

UK-Israel Gaza dispute: Israel’s Foreign Ministry and US envoy Mike Huckabee hit back at UK Foreign Secretary Ed Miliband over Gaza medicine claims, insisting no medicine is blocked and citing large medical-supply figures. Gaza endgame debate: Netanyahu says reconstruction won’t start until Gaza is demilitarized and Hamas disarmed, keeping security-first terms at the center of postwar talks. EU rejects displacement: The EU says it rejects any demographic or territorial change in Gaza and warns against forced displacement, backing Gaza’s unity with the West Bank under the PA. West Bank settler violence and US pressure: Huckabee visited Turmus Ayya near Ramallah, calling settler attacks “terrorism,” urging “severe consequences,” and stressing Israel must protect Palestinians; he also said there’s no plan to forcibly displace people from Gaza. Land and settlement expansion: Reports describe Israeli bulldozing and uprooting in Arraba and wider settlement outposts and land seizures reaching Areas A and B, raising fears for contiguity. PA politics and elections: Questions grow over whether the PA will cancel November 2026 elections again, with Gaza participation and Jerusalem voting flagged as potential hurdles. Palestinian governance and reform: Canada’s recognition of Palestine was tied to PA reforms, but progress remains contested amid ongoing violence. Gaza humanitarian reality: New reporting highlights acute food insecurity and long-term health damage as tents, hospitals, water systems, and basic services collapse under bombardment and blockade.

US-West Bank Security: US Ambassador Mike Huckabee visited Turmus Ayya near Ramallah, calling settler attacks “terrorism” and saying Israel has a responsibility to protect Palestinians; he also said there is “categorically” no plan to force Gaza displacement. Settler Violence & Land Pressure: Palestinian groups warn settlement expansion is spreading beyond Area C into Areas A and B via outposts, roads, water grabs, and movement restrictions, while reports highlight intensified demolitions and raids. Gaza Displacement Push Rebuffed: The EU rejected any demographic or territorial change in Gaza and reaffirmed Gaza’s place in a future Palestinian state under a unified Palestinian Authority, after Israeli ministers floated mass “emigration” ideas. West Bank Fatal Clashes: Two Palestinian teenagers were killed in Al-Mughayyir after an operation involving settlers and Israeli forces, as both sides traded accounts of the violence. Elections Under Strain: Questions grow over whether the PA can hold November 2026 elections amid Gaza destruction and Jerusalem voting barriers, with analysts warning elections may not translate into real political change. E1 Flashpoint: Twenty-nine Democratic senators urged the US to halt E1 construction, arguing it could jeopardize prospects for a Palestinian state. Palestinian Politics Watch: Coverage examines whether Fatah’s Democratic Reform faction can bridge peace with Israel and unity challenges, alongside reports of UAE-backed Dahlan moves reshaping Palestinian alliances.

PA Elections & Governance: Questions are growing over whether Mahmoud Abbas will postpone the next Palestinian Legislative Council vote again, with European officials weighing a monitoring mission and PA figures citing the practical impossibility of voting in Gaza and East Jerusalem. Factional Realignment: UAE-backed Fatah dissident Mohammed Dahlan is pushing a plan to “end Palestinian division,” after talks with Hamas and PIJ and amid shifting alliance math ahead of the November 28 elections. Gaza Displacement Push vs International Backlash: The EU rejected any Israeli attempt to change Gaza’s demographics or territory and warned against forced displacement, after Israeli ministers floated multi-year “emigration” schemes. West Bank Violence & Annexation: Israeli forces and settlers killed Palestinian teens in Al-Mughayyir near Ramallah, while Amnesty says new land confiscation orders in Jenin expand annexation even in areas under PA control. Settler Violence Ahead of Israeli Politics: Israeli officials are openly debating whether PA security forces could “turn their guns,” as warnings rise that West Bank escalation may be used for electoral gain. Education & Identity Fight: A dispute over claims that Tony Blair urged the PA to replace “Palestine” with “Samaria” in schoolbooks is met with Blair’s denial, keeping the spotlight on identity politics under occupation. Economy & Tech Resilience: Despite the war, Ramallah’s tech sector is pitching resilience to investors, with plans to expand digital jobs and connectivity through regional cooperation.

Gaza Demography Row: The EU rejected Israeli plans to change Gaza’s demography or territory, warning against forced displacement and reaffirming support for a unified Palestinian Authority for Gaza and the West Bank. Election-Year Threats: As Israel heads to an Oct. 27 election, far-right ministers renewed calls for removing Gazans, including a seven-year “emigration” plan framed as “voluntary,” reviving fears of expulsion. West Bank Violence: Israeli forces killed two Palestinian teenagers in Al-Mughayyir near Ramallah after clashes tied to a settler attempt to seize sheep; residents say snipers were used, while the army cites a “violent riot.” Annexation by Land Seizure: Amnesty International warned Israel is accelerating annexation through new land confiscation orders in Jenin, including in Area A, to connect planned settlements. Palestinian Elections Under Strain: With legislative elections set for Nov. 28, questions grow over whether Abbas will postpone again and whether elections can still matter amid occupation, Gaza devastation, and factional maneuvering. Identity Fight in Schools: Tony Blair denied reports that he urged the PA to replace “Palestine” with “Samaria” in schoolbooks, as the dispute spotlights a wider battle over Palestinian identity and curriculum. Regional Diplomacy: Egypt and China jointly called for a Gaza ceasefire, unhindered aid, and the return of the PA to govern Gaza, while condemning settlement expansion and settler violence. Climate Fallout: The PA submitted a Gaza climate plan to the UN saying Israel’s bombardment destroyed key systems—housing, water, health, energy, roads—leaving two million Gazans more exposed to heatwaves, drought, and disease.

West Bank Violence: Two Palestinian teens, 16 and 19, were killed in Al-Mughayyir near Ramallah during an attack involving Israeli settlers and troops; Israel said it entered to provide “security” for police and a civilian retrieving livestock, while Palestinians described lethal force amid stone-throwing. Land Confiscation/Annexation: Amnesty International warned Israel is accelerating annexation through new “illegal” land seizure orders in Jenin—about 200 dunams—spanning Areas A and C, aimed at linking planned settlements. Settler Expansion & Raids: Reports also describe the demolition and displacement of Khirbet Al Tabban, alongside continued settler attacks and home burnings across the West Bank. Elections Under Pressure: Questions are growing over whether Abbas will postpone long-delayed Palestinian Legislative Council elections; European officials are pushing for a monitoring mission. Education & Identity Clash: A dispute flared over claims that Tony Blair urged the PA to replace “Palestine” in schoolbooks with “Samaria,” which Blair and his institute deny; separately, Christian leaders warned Jerusalem schools face collapse after teachers’ entry permits were denied. Regional Diplomacy: Egypt and China reiterated support for a Palestinian state and rejected displacement, while calling for Gaza ceasefire consolidation and unhindered aid. Internal Palestinian Politics: Mohammed Dahlan’s emerging alliance is drawing scrutiny as factions prepare for legislative elections and discuss potential joint lists. Gaza Security: Israel said it captured Hamas’s internal security chief in Gaza City, framing it as a blow to Hamas command and governance.

West Bank Violence & Displacement: Israeli forces demolished Khirbet Al Tabban, displacing 12 families, and killed two Palestinian teenagers near Ramallah as settler attacks and raids continue. Settler Violence Surge: Another incident in al-Mughayyir left two teens dead, with the military citing “security” for settlers retrieving livestock while residents describe intimidation and lethal force. PA Elections Under Pressure: Questions are growing over whether Abbas will postpone long-delayed Palestinian Legislative Council elections; European officials are pushing for an EU monitoring mission. Education & Identity Clash: Former UK envoy Jeremy Greenstock says Tony Blair urged the PA to replace “Palestine” with “Samaria” in schoolbooks; Blair’s office denies it. Christian Schools in Jerusalem: Church leaders warn Israel’s refusal to renew entry permits for West Bank teachers has suspended classes and threatens the 2026–2027 year. Diplomacy—Egypt & China: Xi and Sisi reaffirm support for a two-state solution on 1967 borders, reject displacement, demand Gaza ceasefire consolidation, and call for the PA to return to govern Gaza. UK Sanctions Push: Britain’s new government signals a “reset” on West Bank settlements, including bans on settlement goods and targeted sanctions.